Education
How official sources resolve real-world event markets
Every prediction market needs a clear finish line. Without a trusted source and a precise rule, users may disagree about the result. That is why resolution rules are one of the most important parts of any market.
A good market has one clear question
The best prediction questions avoid vague language. Instead of asking whether a company will have a "good quarter," a stronger market asks whether it will beat a specific EPS estimate by a specific date.
Source quality matters
Official agencies, company filings, verified exchange data, and recognized polling averages are stronger than social posts or unofficial summaries. The better the source, the easier the settlement.
Read edge cases before joining
Some markets include conditions for delays, cancellations, or revised data. Reading those details first helps users avoid surprises later.
Final thought
Better predictions usually come from clear rules, patient reading, and a measured position size. Treat every market as a learning opportunity, not just a quick outcome.