FinPredict
Balance $1,250.40

Active predictions

Trade on real-world outcomes — macro, politics, crypto, and earnings. Pools are live; prices move as the crowd updates its view.

Total pool$4.2M+
Active events142
Crypto Hot

Will the Bitcoin price hit $100,000 by the end of Q4 2024?

Institutional flows and ETF demand continue to shape liquidity. Traders are weighing halving effects against macro headwinds for a volatile close to the year.

Yes 62%No 38%
Total pool$840K
Traders12.4k
View prediction
Politics5d 12h

Will a third-party candidate exceed 8% in the next national poll average?

Polling volatility and debate performance historically swing undecided voters late. This market tracks aggregated national averages across major firms.

Yes 44%No 56%
Total pool$210K
Traders3.1k
View prediction
Economy Hot

Will the Fed signal two or more cuts before Q3?

CPI prints and labor softness drive expectations for the committee’s dot plot. Watch FOMC minutes and chair commentary for repricing risk.

Yes 71%No 29%
Total pool$1.1M
Traders8.9k
View prediction
Business1d 4h

Will the top five tech giants beat consensus EPS in the same quarter?

Cloud and AI capex cycles are stretching margins. This pool resolves on reported GAAP EPS vs blended street estimates for the named basket.

Yes 55%No 45%
Total pool$560K
Traders5.2k
View prediction
Market8h 20m

Will the S&P 500 close green four weeks in a row?

Breadth and seasonality matter for streak markets. Resolves using official cash index prints on the primary US equity session calendar.

Yes 48%No 52%
Total pool$320K
Traders4.4k
View prediction
Global News2d 9h

Will OPEC+ announce additional voluntary cuts this month?

Supply discipline versus demand recovery from Asia drives crude narratives. Resolves on documented joint ministerial outcomes only.

Yes 39%No 61%
Total pool$480K
Traders2.8k
View prediction
Crypto6d 0h

Will Ethereum flip $4,500 before Bitcoin makes a new ATH?

Relative strength trades dominate alt windows. Chain activity and staking flows are key inputs for participants sizing this spread.

Yes 33%No 67%
Total pool$290K
Traders3.6k
View prediction
Market4d 2h

Will two or more hyperscalers raise AI infra guidance in the same week?

CapEx cadence signals demand durability. Resolves positive if at least two tracked names raise full-year infrastructure outlooks within the window.

Yes 66%No 34%
Total pool$670K
Traders6.1k
View prediction
Politics12h 5m

Will a debt-ceiling headline move implied volatility above 25 before month end?

Policy uncertainty often spikes short-dated vol. This market uses a named VIX-style index threshold on the official settlement feed.

Yes 51%No 49%
Total pool$190K
Traders1.9k
View prediction

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Top curators

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    SignalSmith112 Wins
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Recent activity

  • NEW BID

    $1,200 to user_vance

    11m ago
  • HOT EVENT

    'Fed Rates' pool grew <20%

    Liquidity surge

    23m ago
  • PAYOUT

    $3,400 settled to pool winners

    41m ago
  • NEW EVENT

    EU tech regulation vote added

    1h ago
  • NEW BID

    $650 matched on Energy outlook

    2h ago

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