FinPredict
Balance $1,250.40

Will a debt-ceiling headline move implied volatility above 25 before month end?

PoliticsVerified market
Closes in
14hrs
32min
00sec
Total pool$190K

Market analysis & context

Policy uncertainty often spikes short-dated vol. This market uses a named VIX-style index threshold on the official settlement feed. Participation is escrow-backed; oracle resolution follows the published rulebook.

  • Official sourcePredictify Hub committee + linked agency feeds
  • Resolution dateWithin 48h of certified outcome
  • Current leadYES side 51%

Recent market bids

OptionBid amountTimeUser
YES$2,400.00Just nowUser***68
NO$800.001m agoUser***12
YES$500.003m agoUser***91
NO$1,200.006m agoUser***04
YES$350.008m agoUser***77

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